Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Holstein Kiel win with a probability of 77.32%. A draw had a probability of 13.2% and a win for Rielasingen-Arlen had a probability of 9.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Holstein Kiel win was 0-2 with a probability of 8.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (8.32%) and 1-2 (8.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.59%), while for a Rielasingen-Arlen win it was 2-1 (2.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-7 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Holstein Kiel would win this match.