Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 41.4%. A win for Waldhof Mannheim had a probability of 34.99% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.12%) and 0-2 (5.85%). The likeliest Waldhof Mannheim win was 2-1 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Freiburg in this match.
