MX23RW : Tuesday, January 7 08:09:54| >> :600:3013070:3013070:
Werder Bremen logo
DFB-Pokal | Round of 16
Dec 3, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
wohninvest WESERSTADION (Bremen)
SV Darmstadt

Werder Bremen
1 - 0
Darmstadt

Jung (90+4')
Stark (22'), Zetterer (34'), Weiser (54'), Ducksch (73')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Maglica (36'), Bueno (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's DFB-Pokal clash between Werder Bremen and SV Darmstadt 98, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Werder Bremen 2-2 Stuttgart
Saturday, November 30 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Darmstadt 0-0 Preussen Munster
Saturday, November 30 at 7.30pm in 2.Bundesliga

We said: Werder Bremen 2-1 SV Darmstadt 98

It would not be surprising if Darmstadt managed to take the lead on Tuesday given their strong offensive record. However, it is difficult to see Werder Bremen losing considering the gulf in quality between the Bundesliga side and their opponents, and they should be considered strong favourites. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SV Darmstadt 98 win with a probability of 40.44%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 36.65% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a SV Darmstadt 98 win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.14%) and 0-2 (5.24%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 2-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Werder Bremen would win this match.

Result
Werder BremenDrawSV Darmstadt 98
36.65% (0.125 0.13) 22.9% (0.136 0.14) 40.44% (-0.258 -0.26)
Both teams to score 65.63% (-0.506 -0.51)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.56% (-0.66500000000001 -0.67)35.43% (0.671 0.67)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.53% (-0.741 -0.74)57.47% (0.745 0.74)
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.16% (-0.236 -0.24)19.84% (0.24 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.07% (-0.384 -0.38)51.92% (0.389 0.39)
SV Darmstadt 98 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.87% (-0.386 -0.39)18.13% (0.391 0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.92% (-0.669 -0.67)49.08% (0.673 0.67)
Score Analysis
    Werder Bremen 36.65%
    SV Darmstadt 98 40.44%
    Draw 22.9%
Werder BremenDrawSV Darmstadt 98
2-1 @ 8.03% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
1-0 @ 5.82% (0.152 0.15)
2-0 @ 4.7% (0.088 0.09)
3-1 @ 4.33% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 3.7% (-0.052 -0.05)
3-0 @ 2.54% (0.029 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.75% (-0.015 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.5% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.03% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 36.65%
1-1 @ 9.93% (0.136 0.14)
2-2 @ 6.86% (-0.043 -0.04)
0-0 @ 3.6% (0.12 0.12)
3-3 @ 2.11% (-0.057 -0.06)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 22.9%
1-2 @ 8.48% (0.0089999999999986 0.01)
0-1 @ 6.14% (0.129 0.13)
0-2 @ 5.24% (0.045 0.04)
1-3 @ 4.83% (-0.056 -0.06)
2-3 @ 3.91% (-0.075 -0.07)
0-3 @ 2.99% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-4 @ 2.06% (-0.05 -0.05)
2-4 @ 1.67% (-0.053 -0.05)
0-4 @ 1.28% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 3.85%
Total : 40.44%

How you voted: Werder Bremen vs Darmstadt

Werder Bremen
71.2%
Draw
19.2%
SV Darmstadt 98
9.6%
52
Head to Head
Feb 24, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 23
Werder Bremen
1-1
Darmstadt
Zimmermann (8' og.)
Ducksch (20'), Lynen (35'), Jung (38')
Justvan (33')
Holland (52'), Gjasula (56'), Maglica (67'), Karic (88')
Oct 1, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 6
Darmstadt
4-2
Werder Bremen
Bader (4'), Skarke (25'), Mehlem (50'), Kempe (62' pen.)
Mehlem (40'), Holland (52'), Franjic (90+4')
Deman (70'), Veljkovic (78')
Lynen (31'), Deman (90+3')
Mar 19, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 27
Werder Bremen
1-0
Darmstadt
Fullkrug (52')
Schmid (30'), Veljkovic (85')

Muller (68')
Gjasula (23')
Oct 17, 2021 12.30pm
Gameweek 10
Darmstadt
3-0
Werder Bremen
Holland (45'), Pfeiffer (65', 71')
Kempe (14'), Tietz (63'), Bader (79'), Manu (85')

Lukas Mai (7'), Friedl (11'), Bittencourt (90+1')
Mar 4, 2017 2.30pm
rhs 2.0
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