Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a ADO Den Haag win with a probability of 69.54%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Dordrecht had a probability of 13.27%.
The most likely scoreline for an ADO Den Haag win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 1-0 (7.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.81%), while for a Dordrecht win it was 1-2 (3.82%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that ADO Den Haag would win this match.