Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almere City win with a probability of 43.05%. A win for FC Eindhoven had a probability of 32.99% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almere City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.84%) and 2-0 (6.4%). The likeliest FC Eindhoven win was 1-2 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Almere City would win this match.