Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong FC Utrecht win with a probability of 54.73%. A win for Den Bosch had a probability of 23.26% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong FC Utrecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.42%) and 2-0 (8.18%). The likeliest Den Bosch win was 1-2 (6.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jong FC Utrecht would win this match.