Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Eindhoven win with a probability of 51.27%. A win for Jong PSV had a probability of 25.49% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.07%) and 0-2 (8.1%). The likeliest Jong PSV win was 2-1 (6.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for FC Eindhoven in this match.