Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 63.73%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for TOP Oss had a probability of 16.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.41%) and 0-1 (8.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.91%), while for a TOP Oss win it was 2-1 (4.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.