Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between SBV Excelsior and Helmond Sport.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: ADO Den Haag 4-4 SBV Excelsior (7-8 pen.)
Sunday, May 29 at 5pm in Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs
Sunday, May 29 at 5pm in Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
4 | ADO Den Haag | 37 | 26 | 67 |
5 | SBV Excelsior | 37 | 25 | 65 |
6 | Roda JC | 37 | 26 | 63 |
Last Game: Helmond 1-1 Den Bosch
Friday, May 6 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Friday, May 6 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
18 | MVV Maastricht | 37 | -33 | 37 |
19 | Telstar | 37 | -26 | 35 |
20 | Helmond Sport | 37 | -33 | 27 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 71.63%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 11.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.49%) and 1-0 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.88%), while for a Helmond Sport win it was 1-2 (3.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SBV Excelsior would win this match.
Result | ||
SBV Excelsior | Draw | Helmond Sport |
71.63% | 16.84% | 11.52% |
Both teams to score 52.45% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.39% | 36.61% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.23% | 58.76% |
SBV Excelsior Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91% | 8.99% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
69.34% | 30.66% |
Helmond Sport Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.63% | 42.37% |