Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roda JC win with a probability of 39.2%. A win for Telstar had a probability of 36.68% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roda JC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.43%) and 0-2 (5.75%). The likeliest Telstar win was 2-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roda JC would win this match.