Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VVV-Venlo win with a probability of 40.29%. A win for NAC Breda had a probability of 36.02% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a VVV-Venlo win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.06%) and 2-0 (5.7%). The likeliest NAC Breda win was 1-2 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
