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Brighton logo
EFL Cup | Third Round
Sep 22, 2021 at 7.30pm UK
The American Express Community Stadium
Swansea logo

Brighton
2 - 0
Swansea

Connolly (33', 38')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Williams (45'), Downes (73'), Cooper (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's EFL Cup clash between Brighton & Hove Albion and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 47.07%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 26.62% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (8.85%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 0-1 (8.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.

Result
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawSwansea City
47.07%26.3%26.62%
Both teams to score 49.34%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.35%54.65%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.01%75.98%
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.79%23.21%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.89%57.1%
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.25%35.74%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.48%72.51%
Score Analysis
    Brighton & Hove Albion 47.07%
    Swansea City 26.62%
    Draw 26.3%
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawSwansea City
1-0 @ 12.11%
2-1 @ 9.11%
2-0 @ 8.85%
3-1 @ 4.43%
3-0 @ 4.31%
3-2 @ 2.28%
4-1 @ 1.62%
4-0 @ 1.57%
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 47.07%
1-1 @ 12.46%
0-0 @ 8.29%
2-2 @ 4.68%
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 26.3%
0-1 @ 8.53%
1-2 @ 6.41%
0-2 @ 4.39%
1-3 @ 2.2%
2-3 @ 1.61%
0-3 @ 1.51%
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 26.62%

How you voted: Brighton vs Swansea

Brighton & Hove Albion
77.9%
Draw
12.1%
Swansea City
10.0%
140
Head to Head
Feb 24, 2018 3pm
Brighton
4-1
Swansea
Murray (18' pen., 69'), Knockaert (73'), Locadia (90')
Murray (63')
Dunk (85' og.)
Nov 4, 2017 3pm
May 3, 2008 3pm
Sep 29, 2007 3pm
Swansea
0-0
Brighton
Orlandi (75'), Anderson (83')
O'Callaghan (13'), Revell (80')
Apr 21, 2007 3pm
Swansea
2-1
Brighton
Duffy (21', 41')
Gueret (50')
Revell (14')
Mayo (71')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Manchester CityMan City97202091123
2Liverpool97111751222
3Arsenal95311710718
4Aston Villa95311611518
5Chelsea95221911817
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton94411612416
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest9441117416
8Tottenham HotspurSpurs94141810813
9Brentford94141818013
10Fulham93331212012
11Bournemouth93331111012
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle9333910-112
13West Ham UnitedWest Ham93241316-311
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd9324811-311
15Leicester CityLeicester92341317-49
16Everton92341016-69
17Crystal Palace9135611-56
18Ipswich TownIpswich9045920-114
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves90271225-132
20Southampton9018619-131


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