EFL Cup | Third Round
Sep 24, 2020 at 7pm UK
Ashton Gate Stadium
Bristol City0 - 3Aston Villa
The Match
Match Report
The former Chelsea forward struck after 14 minutes of his first appearance for Villa.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's EFL Cup third-round tie between Bristol City and Aston Villa, including team news and predicted lineups.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 39.84%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 34.83% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (6.47%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 0-1 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Bristol City | Draw | Aston Villa |
39.84% | 25.33% | 34.83% |
Both teams to score 56.35% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.63% | 47.37% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.41% | 69.59% |
Bristol City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.45% | 23.55% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.4% | 57.6% |
Aston Villa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.71% | 26.29% |