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EFL Cup
Cambridge United
EFL Cup | Second Round
Aug 23, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Abbey Stadium
Southampton logo

Cambridge
0 - 3
Southampton

FT(HT: 0-1)
Adams (16', 55'), Ballard (88')
Romeu (69'), Lyanco (86'), Djenepo (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Cambridge United and Southampton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cambridge United

Last Six:
Last Game: Charlton 1-1 Cambridge
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in League One

Southampton

Last Six:
Last Game: Leicester 1-2 Southampton
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in Premier League

We said: Cambridge United 0-3 Southampton

 The Saints have not lost a second-round EFL Cup encounter away from home since 2005-06, when it was known as the Carling Cup, failing to concede on the road at this stage since 2013-14. Cambridge have not fared well at this point of the tournament for a long time, and that was primarily against second or third-tier sides, so we do not expect them to trouble a Southampton team who had 12 different players score in the Premier League last season, while another eight had at least one assist. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 52.79%. A win for Cambridge United had a probability of 24.34% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.04%) and 0-2 (8.29%). The likeliest Cambridge United win was 2-1 (6.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-3 win for Southampton in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Southampton.

Result
Cambridge UnitedDrawSouthampton
24.34% (0.0079999999999991 0.01) 22.86% (0.010000000000002 0.01) 52.79% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 58.1% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.91% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)42.08% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.51% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05)64.48% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.14% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)30.86% (0.013000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.86% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)67.14% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.03% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)15.96% (0.020999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.74% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)45.25% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Cambridge United 24.34%
    Southampton 52.79%
    Draw 22.85%
Cambridge UnitedDrawSouthampton
2-1 @ 6.25% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-0 @ 5.79% (0.008 0.01)
2-0 @ 3.41% (0.0029999999999997 0)
3-1 @ 2.45%
3-2 @ 2.25% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-0 @ 1.34% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 24.34%
1-1 @ 10.62%
2-2 @ 5.73% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 4.93% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.37% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 22.85%
1-2 @ 9.75%
0-1 @ 9.04% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 8.29% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 5.96% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 5.07% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-3 @ 3.51% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 2.74% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
0-4 @ 2.33% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 1.61% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
1-5 @ 1% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.5%
Total : 52.79%

How you voted: Cambridge vs Southampton

Cambridge United
14.3%
Draw
14.3%
Southampton
71.4%
70
rhs 2.0
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2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144
> Premier League Full Table


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