MX23RW : Thursday, May 23 18:54:13| >> :600:1715868:1715868:
Potential new EFL Cup header

EFL Cup
Grimsby Town
EFL Cup | First Round
Aug 9, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Blundell Park
Crewe Alexandra

Grimsby Town
4 - 0
Crewe

Waterfall (13'), Green (34'), Smith (56'), Wearne (86')
Amos (3')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Mellor (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Grimsby Town and Crewe Alexandra, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Grimsby Town

Last Six:
Last Game: Grimsby Town 1-1 Northampton
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in League Two

Crewe Alexandra

Last Six:
Last Game: Crewe 3-0 Harrogate
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Grimsby Town 0-1 Crewe Alexandra

 Crewe look strong at League Two level this season and will fancy their chances of overcoming a second-string Grimsby on Tuesday night. We are expecting it to be a tight match, as Crewe will also make a number of changes, but the visitors should have enough to progress to the second round. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 45.09%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 29.78% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 0-1 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Grimsby Town would win this match.

Result
Grimsby TownDrawCrewe Alexandra
45.09% (-0.055 -0.05) 25.13% (0.012 0.01) 29.78% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Both teams to score 55.12% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.87% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)48.12% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.71% (-0.031000000000002 -0.03)70.28% (0.028000000000006 0.03)
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.64% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)21.36% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.67% (-0.059999999999995 -0.06)54.33% (0.055 0.05)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.09% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)29.91% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.99% (0.013999999999996 0.01)66.01% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Grimsby Town 45.09%
    Crewe Alexandra 29.78%
    Draw 25.13%
Grimsby TownDrawCrewe Alexandra
1-0 @ 9.86% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-1 @ 9.19% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.61% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.73% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.92% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.85% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.83% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.51% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.1% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 45.09%
1-1 @ 11.9% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.39% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.55% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.15% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.13%
0-1 @ 7.71% (0.013 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.18% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.65% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.89% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.23%
0-3 @ 1.87% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 29.78%

How you voted: Grimsby Town vs Crewe

Grimsby Town
38.5%
Draw
7.7%
Crewe Alexandra
53.8%
13
Head to Head
Apr 18, 2020 3pm
Crewe
P-P
Grimsby Town
Sep 7, 2019 3pm
Grimsby Town
0-2
Crewe

Hanson (49')
Lowery (46'), Kirk (91')
Powell (62'), Kirk (92')
May 4, 2019 3pm
Grimsby Town
2-0
Crewe
Davis (26'), Grayson (34')
Wright (62')

Sass-Davies (12'), Ng (19')
Oct 27, 2018 3pm
Crewe
2-0
Grimsby Town
Whelan (70'), Miller (77')
Jan 1, 2018 3pm
Crewe
2-0
Grimsby Town
Porter (12'), Walker (34')
Ng (11')

Woolford (34'), Berrett (56')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CManchester CityMan City38287396346291
2Arsenal38285591296289
3Liverpool382410486414582
4Aston Villa382081076611568
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs382061274611366
6Chelsea381891177631463
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle381861485622360
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd38186145758-160
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham381410146074-1452
10Crystal Palace381310155758-149
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton381212145562-748
12Bournemouth38139165467-1348
13Fulham38138175561-647
14Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38137185065-1546
15Everton38139164051-1140
16Brentford38109195665-939
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3899204967-1832
RLuton TownLuton3868245285-3326
RBurnley3859244178-3724
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd38372835104-6916
> Premier League Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!