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EFL Cup
Manchester City logo
EFL Cup | Round of 16
Dec 22, 2022 at 8pm UK
Etihad Stadium
Liverpool logo

Man City
3 - 2
Liverpool

Braut Haaland (10'), Mahrez (47'), Ake (58')
Rodri (79')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Carvalho (20'), Salah (48')
Bajcetic (35'), Fabinho (79'), Keita (83')

The Match

Match Report

Liverpool's EFL Cup defence ends in the fourth round at the hands of Manchester City, who edge a pulsating contest 3-2 at the Etihad to advance to the quarter-finals.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Thursday's EFL Cup clash between Manchester City and Liverpool.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's EFL Cup clash between Manchester City and Liverpool, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Liverpool could line up for Thursday's EFL Cup fourth-round tie with Manchester City.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up all of Liverpool's latest injury and suspension news ahead of their EFL Cup contest with Manchester City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Manchester City

All competitions
EFL Cup
Last Game: Man City 2-0 Girona
Saturday, December 17 at 1pm in Club Friendlies 1

Liverpool

All competitions
EFL Cup
Last Game: Liverpool 4-1 AC Milan
Friday, December 16 at 3.30pm in Club Friendlies 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 46.78%. A win for Liverpool had a probability of 32.27% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.79%) and 3-2 (4.98%). The likeliest Liverpool win was 1-2 (6.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.

Result
Manchester CityDrawLiverpool
46.78% (1.751 1.75) 20.95% (0.164 0.16) 32.27% (-1.917 -1.92)
Both teams to score 71.89% (-1.517 -1.52)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
73.2% (-1.621 -1.62)26.79% (1.618 1.62)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
52.77% (-2.083 -2.08)47.22% (2.081 2.08)
Manchester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.6% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)12.4% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.71% (-0.16699999999999 -0.17)38.28% (0.166 0.17)
Liverpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.06% (-1.656 -1.66)17.93% (1.654 1.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.24% (-2.923 -2.92)48.75% (2.921 2.92)
Score Analysis
    Manchester City 46.78%
    Liverpool 32.27%
    Draw 20.95%
Manchester CityDrawLiverpool
2-1 @ 8.33% (0.344 0.34)
3-1 @ 5.79% (0.223 0.22)
3-2 @ 4.98% (-0.078 -0.08)
2-0 @ 4.85% (0.448 0.45)
1-0 @ 4.64% (0.442 0.44)
3-0 @ 3.37% (0.302 0.3)
4-1 @ 3.02% (0.108 0.11)
4-2 @ 2.6% (-0.049 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.76% (0.152 0.15)
4-3 @ 1.49% (-0.114 -0.11)
5-1 @ 1.26% (0.041 0.04)
5-2 @ 1.09% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 3.6%
Total : 46.78%
1-1 @ 7.98% (0.353 0.35)
2-2 @ 7.15% (-0.09 -0.09)
3-3 @ 2.85% (-0.208 -0.21)
0-0 @ 2.22% (0.218 0.22)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 20.95%
1-2 @ 6.85% (-0.065 -0.06)
2-3 @ 4.1% (-0.285 -0.29)
1-3 @ 3.93% (-0.261 -0.26)
0-1 @ 3.82% (0.18 0.18)
0-2 @ 3.28% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.88% (-0.119 -0.12)
2-4 @ 1.76% (-0.228 -0.23)
1-4 @ 1.69% (-0.213 -0.21)
3-4 @ 1.23% (-0.163 -0.16)
Other @ 3.74%
Total : 32.27%

How you voted: Man City vs Liverpool

Manchester City
54.1%
Liverpool
45.9%
405
Head to Head
Oct 16, 2022 4.30pm
Liverpool
1-0
Man City
Salah (76')
Fabinho (63')
Jul 30, 2022 5pm
Final
Liverpool
3-1
Man City
Alexander-Arnold (21'), Salah (83' pen.), Nunez (90+4')
Nunez (90+5')
Alvarez (70')
Dias (83')
Apr 16, 2022 3.30pm
Semi-Finals
Man City
2-3
Liverpool
Grealish (47'), Silva (90+1')
Jesus (27'), Fernandinho (57')
Konate (9'), Mane (17', 45')
Fabinho (37'), Keita (48'), Mane (61')
Apr 10, 2022 4.30pm
Man City
2-2
Liverpool
De Bruyne (5'), Jesus (36')
Silva (40')
Jota (13'), Mane (46')
Robertson (28'), Alcantara (61'), Fabinho (83'), van Dijk (89')
Oct 3, 2021 4.30pm
Liverpool
2-2
Man City
Mane (59'), Salah (76')
Milner (42'), Jota (65'), Fabinho (83')
Foden (69'), De Bruyne (81')
Dias (26'), Cancelo (56'), Silva (78')
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TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool23175156213556
2Arsenal24148249222750
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest24145540271347
4Chelsea24127547311643
5Manchester CityMan City24125748351341
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle24125742291341
7Bournemouth24117641281340
8Aston Villa2410773437-337
9Fulham249963632436
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2481063538-334
11Brentford2494114242031
12Crystal Palace247982830-230
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd2485112834-629
14Tottenham HotspurSpurs24831348371127
15West Ham UnitedWest Ham2476112946-1727
16Everton236892328-526
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2454153452-1819
18Leicester CityLeicester2445152553-2817
19Ipswich TownIpswich2437142249-2716
20Southampton2423191854-369
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