EFL Cup

EFL Cup | First Round

Aug 10, 2021 at 7.45pm UK

The Den

Millwall
2 - 1
Portsmouth

Malone (21'), Saville (27')
Cooper (49')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Hackett-Fairchild (4')
Hackett-Fairchild (49')
Johnson (48')

Gary Rowett: George Saville showed just why we brought him back

Aug 10, 23:10

The Match

Match Report

George Saville on target as Millwall battle back to beat Portsmouth.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Millwall and Portsmouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 36.65%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 36.36% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.04%) and 0-2 (6.44%). The likeliest Millwall win was 1-0 (10.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.

Result
Millwall	Draw	Portsmouth
36.36%	26.99%	36.65%

Both teams to score 50.96%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.69%

54.31%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.3%

75.7%

Millwall Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.3%

28.7%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.47%

64.53%

Portsmouth Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.47%

28.52%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.69%

64.31%

Score Analysis

Millwall 36.35%

Portsmouth 36.64%

Draw 26.98%

Millwall	Draw	Portsmouth
1-0 @ 10.21% 2-1 @ 8% 2-0 @ 6.38% 3-1 @ 3.33% 3-0 @ 2.65% 3-2 @ 2.09% 4-1 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.65% Total : 36.35%	1-1 @ 12.81% 0-0 @ 8.19% 2-2 @ 5.02% Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.98%	0-1 @ 10.26% 1-2 @ 8.04% 0-2 @ 6.44% 1-3 @ 3.36% 0-3 @ 2.69% 2-3 @ 2.1% 1-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.69% Total : 36.64%