MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 16:38:10| >> :600:1103553:1103553:
MK Dons
EFL Cup | First Round
Aug 9, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Stadium mk
Sutton United

MK Dons
1 - 0
Sutton

Grant (41')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between MK Dons and Sutton United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: MK Dons 1-0 Sutton United

Given their respective form, this has the makings of being a closely-fought contest. However, while Sutton will relish the chance to compete against a higher-profile club, we expect the home side to edge this game by a narrow margin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 50.77%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Sutton United had a probability of 24.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.51%) and 2-0 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.87%), while for a Sutton United win it was 0-1 (7.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for MK Dons in this match.

Result
MK DonsDrawSutton United
50.77% (0.0049999999999955 0) 24.96% (-0.0039999999999978 -0) 24.27% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Both teams to score 51.2% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.83% (0.012999999999998 0.01)51.17% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.98% (0.010999999999999 0.01)73.01% (-0.01100000000001 -0.01)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.84% (0.007000000000005 0.01)20.16% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.55% (0.010999999999996 0.01)52.44% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.13% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)35.86% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.35% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)72.64% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    MK Dons 50.76%
    Sutton United 24.27%
    Draw 24.96%
MK DonsDrawSutton United
1-0 @ 11.57% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.51% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 9.27% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 5.08% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 4.95% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 2.6% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.03% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.98% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.04% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 50.76%
1-1 @ 11.87%
0-0 @ 7.23% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-2 @ 4.88% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 24.96%
0-1 @ 7.41% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 6.09%
0-2 @ 3.8%
1-3 @ 2.08% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.67% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.3%
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 24.27%

How you voted: MK Dons vs Sutton

MK Dons
71.4%
Draw
14.3%
Sutton United
14.3%
14
rhs 2.0
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2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144


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