Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Preston North End win with a probability of 44.8%. A win for Mansfield Town had a probability of 30.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Preston North End win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.56%). The likeliest Mansfield Town win was 0-1 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Preston North End would win this match.