MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 15:15:31| >> :600:1098595:1098595:
Shrewsbury Town
EFL Cup | First Round
Aug 9, 2022 at 7.30pm UK
Montgomery Waters Meadow
Carlisle United

Shrewsbury
3 - 2
Carlisle

Leahy (45+1'), Udoh (75'), Dunkley (86')
Shipley (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Edmondson (13'), Dennis (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Shrewsbury Town and Carlisle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Shrewsbury Town 1-0 Carlisle United

With just two goals between them so far, these sides are clearly not in full flow yet inside the final third. In a tightly-contested tie, then, Shrewsbury can make use of home advantage to advance from the first round. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 39.3%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 34.04% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (6.92%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 (9.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Shrewsbury Town would win this match.

Result
Shrewsbury TownDrawCarlisle United
34.04% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01) 26.65%39.3% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 51.8% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.85% (0.0020000000000024 0)53.14% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.28% (0.00099999999999767 0)74.71% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Shrewsbury Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.43% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)29.56% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.4% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)65.59%
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.55% (0.0040000000000049 0)26.45% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.37% (0.007000000000005 0.01)61.62% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Shrewsbury Town 34.04%
    Carlisle United 39.29%
    Draw 26.65%
Shrewsbury TownDrawCarlisle United
1-0 @ 9.53% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-1 @ 7.72% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 5.81% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-1 @ 3.14% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 2.36% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.09% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 0.96% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 34.04%
1-1 @ 12.67%
0-0 @ 7.82% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-2 @ 5.14% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-3 @ 0.93% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.65%
0-1 @ 10.39% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.43% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-2 @ 6.92% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 3.74% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 3.07% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.28%
1-4 @ 1.24%
0-4 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 39.29%

How you voted: Shrewsbury vs Carlisle

Shrewsbury Town
57.1%
Draw
14.3%
Carlisle United
28.6%
35
Head to Head
Dec 4, 2021 3pm
Carlisle
1-2
Shrewsbury
Gibson (90+1')
Whelan (8'), Clough (30'), Feeney (60')
Bloxham (10'), Bowman (78')
Pennington (25'), Vela (49'), Udoh (54')
Feb 10, 2015 7.45pm
Carlisle
1-2
Shrewsbury
Wyke (66')
Meppen-Walters (63')
Collins (94'), Demetriou (93')
Collins (95')
Sep 16, 2014 7.45pm
Mar 25, 2014 7.45pm
Oct 5, 2013 3pm
Shrewsbury
2-2
Carlisle
Bradshaw (40'), Parry (91')
Weale (75')
Amoo (87'), O'Hanlon (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!