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EFL Trophy | Second Round
Nov 22, 2022 at 7.30pm UK
Kingsmeadow
Peterborough United

Chelsea U21s
2 - 4
Peterborough

Clarke-Harris (26'), Taylor (61')
Kyprianou (50'), Thompson (65'), Taylor (72'), Jade-Jones (82')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Mothersille (18', 45+1'), Casadei (23'), Elliott (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Trophy clash between Chelsea Under-21s and Peterborough United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chelsea U21s 3-0 Spurs U21s
Monday, November 7 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

We said: Chelsea Under-21s 1-1 Peterborough United (Chelsea advance on penalties)

Chelsea are in fine form and do not appear to be bothered if they go behind, plus their quality and experience in these elimination games should propel them to a narrow victory this week. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Under-21s win with a probability of 70.95%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Peterborough United had a probability of 11.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Under-21s win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.14%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.27%), while for a Peterborough United win it was 0-1 (3.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.

Result
Chelsea Under-21sDrawPeterborough United
70.95% (-1.075 -1.08) 17.48% (0.463 0.46) 11.57% (0.612 0.61)
Both teams to score 50.21% (0.503 0.5)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.43% (-0.451 -0.45)39.57% (0.451 0.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.08% (-0.473 -0.47)61.92% (0.471 0.47)
Chelsea Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.07% (-0.376 -0.38)9.92% (0.375 0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.14% (-0.878 -0.88)32.85% (0.876 0.88)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.74% (0.785 0.79)44.25% (-0.786 -0.79)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.67% (0.635 0.63)80.33% (-0.636 -0.64)
Score Analysis
    Chelsea Under-21s 70.94%
    Peterborough United 11.57%
    Draw 17.48%
Chelsea Under-21sDrawPeterborough United
2-0 @ 11.72% (-0.14 -0.14)
1-0 @ 10.14% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.55% (0.092000000000001 0.09)
3-0 @ 9.03% (-0.263 -0.26)
3-1 @ 7.36% (-0.051 -0.05)
4-0 @ 5.21% (-0.242 -0.24)
4-1 @ 4.25% (-0.101 -0.1)
3-2 @ 3% (0.045 0.04)
5-0 @ 2.41% (-0.154 -0.15)
5-1 @ 1.96% (-0.081 -0.08)
4-2 @ 1.73% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
6-0 @ 0.93% (-0.076 -0.08)
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 70.94%
1-1 @ 8.27% (0.215 0.22)
0-0 @ 4.39% (0.092000000000001 0.09)
2-2 @ 3.89% (0.121 0.12)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 17.48%
0-1 @ 3.58% (0.15 0.15)
1-2 @ 3.37% (0.158 0.16)
0-2 @ 1.46% (0.091 0.09)
2-3 @ 1.06% (0.055 0.06)
1-3 @ 0.92% (0.062 0.06)
Other @ 1.19%
Total : 11.57%

How you voted: Chelsea U21s vs Peterborough

Chelsea Under-21s
66.7%
Draw
11.1%
Peterborough United
22.2%
9
Head to Head
Jan 9, 2019 7pm
rhs 2.0
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5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle20105534221235
6Manchester CityMan City2010463627934
7Bournemouth209653023733
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11Brentford208393835327
12Tottenham HotspurSpurs20731042301224
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd206592328-523
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham206592439-1523
15Crystal Palace204972128-721
16Everton193881525-1017
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2044123145-1416
18Ipswich TownIpswich2037102035-1516
19Leicester CityLeicester2035122344-2114
20Southampton2013161244-326


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