Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kristiansund win with a probability of 50.63%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Sarpsborg 08 had a probability of 24.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kristiansund win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.97%), while for a Sarpsborg 08 win it was 0-1 (7.57%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kristiansund would win this match.