Norwegian Eliteserien | Gameweek 6
May 16, 2022 at 5pm UK
Arasen Stadion
Lillestrom1 - 0Sarpsborg
Ibrahimaj (68')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Inge Utvik (9'), Hoyland (53'), Junior Martinsson-Ngouali (54'), Muhammed (90+3')
Coverage of the Norwegian Eliteserien clash between Lillestrom and Sarpsborg 08.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Tromso 2-2 Lillestrom
Sunday, May 29 at 5pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Sunday, May 29 at 5pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Next Game: Lillestrom vs. Rosenborg
Sunday, June 19 at 5pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Sunday, June 19 at 5pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Lillestrom | 10 | 14 | 24 |
2 | Molde | 10 | 10 | 22 |
3 | Viking FK | 11 | 10 | 21 |
Last Game: Jerv 0-5 Sarpsborg
Sunday, May 29 at 5pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Sunday, May 29 at 5pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Next Game: Sarpsborg vs. Stromsgodset
Saturday, June 18 at 3pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Saturday, June 18 at 3pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
6 | Rosenborg | 9 | 5 | 14 |
7 | Sarpsborg 08 | 9 | 6 | 13 |
8 | Bodo/Glimt | 9 | 4 | 13 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lillestrom win with a probability of 61.88%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Sarpsborg 08 had a probability of 17.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lillestrom win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.48%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.93%), while for a Sarpsborg 08 win it was 0-1 (4.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lillestrom would win this match.
Result | ||
Lillestrom | Draw | Sarpsborg 08 |
61.88% ( 0.09) | 21% ( -0.03) | 17.12% ( -0.06) |
Both teams to score 52.95% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.54% ( 0.02) | 43.45% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.15% ( 0.02) | 65.85% ( -0.02) |
Lillestrom Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.5% ( 0.04) | 13.5% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.46% ( 0.07) | 40.54% ( -0.07) |
Sarpsborg 08 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.22% ( -0.06) | 38.78% ( 0.06) |