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Norwegian Eliteserien | Gameweek 11
Jun 25, 2023 at 4pm UK
Aker Stadion

Molde
1 - 0
Haugesund

Brynhildsen (39')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Norwegian Eliteserien clash between Molde and FK Haugesund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Molde

All competitions
Last Game: Odd 1-0 Molde
Sunday, June 11 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

FK Haugesund

All competitions
Last Game: Haugesund 3-2 Sandefjord
Sunday, June 11 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 79.04%. A draw had a probability of 13.4% and a win for FK Haugesund had a probability of 7.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.48%) and 2-1 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.26%), while for a FK Haugesund win it was 1-2 (2.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Molde would win this match.

Result
MoldeDrawFK Haugesund
79.04% (-0.087999999999994 -0.09)13.36% (0.055 0.05)7.6% (0.028 0.03)
Both teams to score 49.25% (-0.073 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.68% (-0.17 -0.17)32.31% (0.166 0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.07% (-0.19600000000001 -0.2)53.93% (0.193 0.19)
Molde Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.54% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)6.46% (0.0501 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
75.85% (-0.14399999999999 -0.14)24.14% (0.141 0.14)
FK Haugesund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.64% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)47.35% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.24% (-0.038 -0.04)82.75% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Molde 79.03%
    FK Haugesund 7.6%
    Draw 13.36%
MoldeDrawFK Haugesund
2-0 @ 11.47% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
3-0 @ 10.48%
2-1 @ 8.58% (0.016 0.02)
1-0 @ 8.38% (0.051 0.05)
3-1 @ 7.84% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 7.18% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-1 @ 5.37% (-0.021 -0.02)
5-0 @ 3.94% (-0.022 -0.02)
5-1 @ 2.94% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.93% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 2.01% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
6-0 @ 1.8% (-0.015 -0.01)
6-1 @ 1.34% (-0.013 -0.01)
5-2 @ 1.1% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 79.03%
1-1 @ 6.26% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 3.21% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 3.06% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 13.36%
1-2 @ 2.34% (0.008 0.01)
0-1 @ 2.29% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 7.6%

How you voted: Molde vs Haugesund

Molde
80.0%
Draw
10.0%
FK Haugesund
10.0%
20
Head to Head
Aug 21, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 19
Haugesund
0-1
Molde

Ndour (60')
Linnes (42')
Jul 17, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 14
Molde
1-0
Haugesund
Grodem (57' pen.)
Fofana (45'), Breivik (73')

Eskesen (59')
Dec 12, 2021 4pm
Gameweek 30
Haugesund
1-2
Molde
Soderlund (64')
Soderlund (44')
Omoijuanfo (38'), Brynhildsen (57')
Risa (22'), Linnes (24'), Breivik (70'), Brynhildsen (90')
Aug 8, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 14
Molde
5-4
Haugesund
Omoijuanfo (11', 15', 49'), Hestad (29'), Wolff Eikrem (59')
Sandberg (13'), Wadji (18'), Stolas (28'), Ndour (83')
Therkildsen (58'), Samuelsen (90+3')
Apr 18, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 4
Molde
P-P
Haugesund