Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bodo/Glimt win with a probability of 53.88%. A win for Sarpsborg 08 had a probability of 23.79% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bodo/Glimt win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.61%) and 0-2 (8.18%). The likeliest Sarpsborg 08 win was 2-1 (6.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bodo/Glimt would win this match.