We said: Tromso IL 2-1 Fredrikstad
After keeping an in-form Fredrikstad at bay over the weekend, Tromso should be confident of continuing their good form at Romssa Arena and recording a third straight win at the venue.
The visitors have enjoyed a fairytale opening to the season as they sit second in the
league standings, but we feel that Fredrikstad will be brought back down to earth slightly on Wednesday night.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tromso IL win with a probability of 39.16%. A win for Fredrikstad had a probability of 35.25% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tromso IL win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (6.45%). The likeliest Fredrikstad win was 0-1 (8.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Tromso IL would win this match.