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Norwegian Eliteserien | Gameweek 11
Jun 25, 2023 at 4pm UK
Alfheim Stadion

Tromso
2 - 1
Stabaek

Paintsil (15'), Erlien (35' pen.)
FT(HT: 2-1)
Hogh (7')
Wangberg (29')
Hogh (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Norwegian Eliteserien clash between Tromso IL and Stabaek Football, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Tromso IL

All competitions
Last Game: Aalesund 2-3 Tromso
Sunday, June 11 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

Stabaek Football

All competitions
Last Game: Stabaek 2-2 Rosenborg
Sunday, June 11 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

We said: Tromso IL 2-1 Stabaek Football

 Tromso are on a significantly better run of results heading into this one, and the added advantage of playing in front of their fans makes them favourites to come out on top here. While we expect Stabaek to put up a decent fight, we are backing the hosts to emerge triumphant come the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tromso IL win with a probability of 50.44%. A win for Stabaek Football had a probability of 25.45% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tromso IL win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 2-0 (8.53%). The likeliest Stabaek Football win was 0-1 (6.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Tromso IL in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Tromso IL.

Result
Tromso ILDrawStabaek Football
50.44% (-0.659 -0.66) 24.1% (0.164 0.16) 25.45% (0.493 0.49)
Both teams to score 55.11% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.41% (-0.29600000000001 -0.3)46.59% (0.294 0.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.14% (-0.279 -0.28)68.86% (0.277 0.28)
Tromso IL Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.49% (-0.37 -0.37)18.5% (0.367 0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.27% (-0.626 -0.63)49.72% (0.625 0.63)
Stabaek Football Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.62% (0.24499999999999 0.24)32.37% (-0.249 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.11% (0.277 0.28)68.88% (-0.28 -0.28)
Score Analysis
    Tromso IL 50.43%
    Stabaek Football 25.45%
    Draw 24.1%
Tromso ILDrawStabaek Football
1-0 @ 10.1%
2-1 @ 9.62% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-0 @ 8.53% (-0.096 -0.1)
3-1 @ 5.41% (-0.088 -0.09)
3-0 @ 4.8% (-0.112 -0.11)
3-2 @ 3.05% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.28% (-0.065 -0.07)
4-0 @ 2.02% (-0.071 -0.07)
4-2 @ 1.29% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 50.43%
1-1 @ 11.39% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 5.99% (0.074 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.42% (0.012 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.15% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.1%
0-1 @ 6.76% (0.128 0.13)
1-2 @ 6.43% (0.091 0.09)
0-2 @ 3.81% (0.098 0.1)
1-3 @ 2.42% (0.05 0.05)
2-3 @ 2.04% (0.018 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.43% (0.046 0.05)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 25.45%

How you voted: Tromso vs Stabaek

Tromso IL
90.6%
Draw
6.3%
Stabaek Football
3.1%
32
Head to Head
Nov 28, 2021 4pm
Gameweek 28
Tromso
0-0
Stabaek
Totland (76')
Mesik (67')
Jun 14, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 5
Stabaek
0-3
Tromso

Khoblenko (79')
Ebiye (9', 14'), Totland (90')
Apr 14, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 3
Stabaek
P-P
Tromso
Dec 1, 2019 5pm
Gameweek 30
Tromso
1-1
Stabaek
Espejord (47')
Smith (27')
Edvardsen (39')
Bohinen (36'), Askildsen (82')
Jun 17, 2019 6pm
Gameweek 11
Stabaek
0-1
Tromso

Aga (45')
Taylor (76' pen.)
Pirinen (38')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt30188471314062
2SK BrannBrann30178555332259
3Viking FKViking FK30169561392257
4RosenborgRosenborg30165952391353
5MoldeMolde30157864362852
6Fredrikstad3014973935451
7StromsgodsetStromsgodset30108123240-838
8KFUM OsloKFUM30910113536-137
9Sarpsborg 08Sarpsborg30107134355-1237
10SandefjordSandefjord3097144146-534
11KristiansundKristiansund30810123245-1334
12HamKam3089133439-533
13Tromso ILTromso3096153444-1033
14FK HaugesundHaugesund3096152946-1733
15Lillestrom3073203363-3024
16Odd3058172654-2823
> Norwegian Eliteserien Full Table


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