Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 72.26%. A draw had a probability of 16.1% and a win for ADO Den Haag had a probability of 11.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.33%) and 0-3 (8.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.32%), while for an ADO Den Haag win it was 2-1 (3.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Utrecht would win this match.