Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 91.67%. A draw had a probability of 5.9% and a win for ADO Den Haag had a probability of 2.41%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (10.77%) and 2-0 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.72%), while for an ADO Den Haag win it was 1-2 (0.81%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.