Eredivisie | Gameweek 30
Apr 25, 2021 at 1.30pm UK
Amsterdam Arena
Ajax2 - 0AZ
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 54.21%. A win for AZ Alkmaar had a probability of 24.39% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.32%) and 1-0 (7.19%). The likeliest AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 (6.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ajax | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
| 54.21% | 21.4% | 24.39% |
| Both teams to score 63.42% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.89% | 35.11% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.89% | 57.12% |
| Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.91% | 13.09% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 60.3% | 39.7% |
| AZ Alkmaar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.97% | 27.03% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.61% | 62.39% |
| Score Analysis |
Ajax 54.21%
AZ Alkmaar 24.39%
Draw 21.4%
| Ajax | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
| 2-1 @ 9.57% 2-0 @ 7.32% 1-0 @ 7.19% 3-1 @ 6.49% 3-0 @ 4.96% 3-2 @ 4.24% 4-1 @ 3.3% 4-0 @ 2.52% 4-2 @ 2.16% 5-1 @ 1.34% 5-0 @ 1.03% 4-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 3.16% Total : 54.21% | 1-1 @ 9.41% 2-2 @ 6.26% 0-0 @ 3.54% 3-3 @ 1.85% Other @ 0.34% Total : 21.4% | 1-2 @ 6.16% 0-1 @ 4.63% 0-2 @ 3.03% 2-3 @ 2.73% 1-3 @ 2.68% 0-3 @ 1.32% Other @ 3.85% Total : 24.39% |
How you voted: Ajax vs AZ
Ajax
94.1%Draw
0.0%AZ Alkmaar
5.9%17
Head to Head
Jan 31, 2021 3.45pm
Mar 1, 2020 7pm
Mar 17, 2019 1.30pm
Oct 7, 2018 3.45pm
Gameweek 8
Ajax
5-0
AZ
Van de Beek (3'), Dolberg (48'), Van Rhijn (52' og.), Ziyech (61'), Tadic (84')
Huntelaar (67'), Tagliafico (83')
Huntelaar (67'), Tagliafico (83')
Form Guide
