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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 81.65%. A draw had a probability of 11.8% and a win for Emmen had a probability of 6.56%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.53%) and 2-1 (8.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.45%), while for a Emmen win it was 1-2 (2.06%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ajax | Draw | Emmen |
| 81.65% | 11.8% | 6.56% |
| Both teams to score 50.25% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 71.7% | 28.31% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 50.86% | 49.14% |
| Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.82% | 5.18% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 79.47% | 20.53% |
| Emmen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53% | 47% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.51% | 82.49% |
| Score Analysis |
| Ajax | Draw | Emmen |
| 2-0 @ 10.67% 3-0 @ 10.53% 2-1 @ 8.06% 3-1 @ 7.96% 4-0 @ 7.8% 1-0 @ 7.21% 4-1 @ 5.89% 5-0 @ 4.62% 5-1 @ 3.49% 3-2 @ 3% 6-0 @ 2.28% 4-2 @ 2.22% 6-1 @ 1.72% 5-2 @ 1.32% 7-0 @ 0.96% Other @ 3.9% Total : 81.63% | 1-1 @ 5.45% 2-2 @ 3.04% 0-0 @ 2.44% Other @ 0.87% Total : 11.8% | 1-2 @ 2.06% 0-1 @ 1.84% Other @ 2.66% Total : 6.56% |