Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 81.65%. A draw had a probability of 11.8% and a win for Emmen had a probability of 6.56%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.53%) and 2-1 (8.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.45%), while for a Emmen win it was 1-2 (2.06%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.