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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 56.44%. A win for Feyenoord had a probability of 23.73% and a draw had a probability of 19.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.9%) and 2-0 (6.26%). The likeliest Feyenoord win was 1-2 (5.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
Result | ||
Ajax | Draw | Feyenoord |
56.44% | 19.82% | 23.73% |
Both teams to score 68.66% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
71.99% | 28% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
51.24% | 48.75% |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.83% | 10.16% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
66.6% | 33.39% |
Feyenoord Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.43% | 23.56% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.37% | 57.62% |
Score Analysis |
Ajax | Draw | Feyenoord |
2-1 @ 9.05% 3-1 @ 6.9% 2-0 @ 6.26% 1-0 @ 5.47% 3-2 @ 4.99% 3-0 @ 4.77% 4-1 @ 3.94% 4-2 @ 2.85% 4-0 @ 2.73% 5-1 @ 1.8% 4-3 @ 1.37% 5-2 @ 1.3% 5-0 @ 1.25% Other @ 3.76% Total : 56.44% | 1-1 @ 7.91% 2-2 @ 6.54% 3-3 @ 2.4% 0-0 @ 2.39% Other @ 0.57% Total : 19.82% | 1-2 @ 5.72% 0-1 @ 3.46% 2-3 @ 3.15% 1-3 @ 2.76% 0-2 @ 2.5% 0-3 @ 1.21% 2-4 @ 1.14% 1-4 @ 1% Other @ 2.8% Total : 23.73% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 18 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 61 | 15 | 46 | 46 |
2 | Ajax | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 42 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 36 | 29 | 7 | 39 |
4 | Feyenoord | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 41 | 23 | 18 | 35 |
5 | FC Twente | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 38 | 23 | 15 | 34 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 33 | 19 | 14 | 33 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 28 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 25 |
9 | Heerenveen | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 24 |
10 | Willem II | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 22 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 18 | 7 | 1 | 10 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 22 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 20 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 17 |
15 | Heracles | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 15 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 18 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 13 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 18 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 10 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 18 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 19 | 43 | -24 | 7 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |