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Willem II
Eredivisie | Gameweek 4
Sep 2, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Yanmar Stadion
PEC Zwolle

Almere City
1 - 2
PEC Zwolle

Jacobs (90+6')
Cathline (38'), Barbet (42'), Jacobs (88')
FT(HT: 0-1)
van den Berg (4'), Vellios (90+7')
Garcia McNulty (23'), El Azzouzi (86'), Vellios (90+3')
El Azzouzi (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Almere City and PEC Zwolle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Almere City

All competitions
Eredivisie
Last Game: Feyenoord 6-1 Almere City
Sunday, August 27 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

PEC Zwolle

All competitions
Eredivisie
Last Game: PEC Zwolle 1-0 Utrecht
Sunday, August 27 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

We said: Almere City 0-1 PEC Zwolle

 Almere have struggled making the step-up so far, and games against a similar level of opposition is where their top-flight future will be decided. Another win over struggling opposition could lift Zwolle as high as the top eight here, before there will be bigger challenges to come, so they will fancy their chances after last week's win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PEC Zwolle win with a probability of 37.89%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 37.73% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a PEC Zwolle win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.57%) and 0-2 (5.65%). The likeliest Almere City win was 2-1 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for PEC Zwolle in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for PEC Zwolle.

Result
Almere CityDrawPEC Zwolle
37.73% (0.267 0.27) 24.38% (0.177 0.18) 37.89% (-0.44 -0.44)
Both teams to score 60.04% (-0.65600000000001 -0.66)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.28% (-0.849 -0.85)42.72% (0.851 0.85)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.87% (-0.84999999999999 -0.85)65.13% (0.854 0.85)
Almere City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.44% (-0.24400000000001 -0.24)22.56% (0.246 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.85% (-0.367 -0.37)56.15% (0.369 0.37)
PEC Zwolle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.53% (-0.59699999999999 -0.6)22.47% (0.6 0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.98% (-0.903 -0.9)56.02% (0.905 0.91)
Score Analysis
    Almere City 37.73%
    PEC Zwolle 37.89%
    Draw 24.37%
Almere CityDrawPEC Zwolle
2-1 @ 8.39% (0.045 0.04)
1-0 @ 7.55% (0.228 0.23)
2-0 @ 5.62% (0.13 0.13)
3-1 @ 4.17% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.11% (-0.062 -0.06)
3-0 @ 2.79% (0.045 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.55% (-0.015 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.16% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.04% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 37.73%
1-1 @ 11.26% (0.14 0.14)
2-2 @ 6.26% (-0.079 -0.08)
0-0 @ 5.07% (0.189 0.19)
3-3 @ 1.55% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.37%
1-2 @ 8.41% (-0.043999999999999 -0.04)
0-1 @ 7.57% (0.15 0.15)
0-2 @ 5.65% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.19% (-0.098 -0.1)
2-3 @ 3.12% (-0.096 -0.1)
0-3 @ 2.81% (-0.045 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.56% (-0.066 -0.07)
2-4 @ 1.16% (-0.058 -0.06)
0-4 @ 1.05% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 37.89%

How you voted: Almere City vs PEC Zwolle

Almere City
0.0%
Draw
11.1%
PEC Zwolle
88.9%
9
Head to Head
Apr 21, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 34
Almere City
1-1
PEC Zwolle
Resink (71')
Van den Belt (74')
Jan 6, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 19
PEC Zwolle
3-2
Almere City
Van den Belt (31'), Van den Berg (65'), Vellios (86')
Pascu (25'), Hilterman (54')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV1211014093133
2FC UtrechtUtrecht119112011928
3Ajax1182125111426
4Feyenoord1274128131525
5FC Twente1264224111322
6AZ AlkmaarAZ125252314917
7Fortuna SittardSittard125251316-317
8NECNijmegen125161910916
9Willem II124351312115
10Go Ahead Eagles124351520-515
11NAC BredaNAC Breda125071221-915
12Heerenveen124261323-1014
13Groningen123361219-712
14PEC Zwolle123361422-812
15Heracles123361223-1112
16Sparta RotterdamSparta122551218-611
17Almere CityAlmere City12138627-216
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1211101031-214
> Eredivisie Full Table


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