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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 61.51%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 17.78%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.88%) and 1-0 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.69%), while for a Sparta Rotterdam win it was 1-2 (4.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.
Result | ||
AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
61.51% | 20.71% | 17.78% |
Both teams to score 55.32% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59% | 40.99% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.61% | 63.39% |
AZ Alkmaar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.16% | 12.84% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.81% | 39.19% |
Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.46% | 36.53% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.68% | 73.32% |
Score Analysis |
AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
2-1 @ 9.95% 2-0 @ 9.88% 1-0 @ 9.63% 3-1 @ 6.81% 3-0 @ 6.76% 4-1 @ 3.5% 4-0 @ 3.47% 3-2 @ 3.43% 4-2 @ 1.76% 5-1 @ 1.44% 5-0 @ 1.43% Other @ 3.46% Total : 61.51% | 1-1 @ 9.69% 2-2 @ 5.01% 0-0 @ 4.69% 3-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 0.16% Total : 20.71% | 1-2 @ 4.88% 0-1 @ 4.72% 0-2 @ 2.38% 2-3 @ 1.68% 1-3 @ 1.64% Other @ 2.48% Total : 17.78% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 13 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 45 | 9 | 36 | 36 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 31 |
3 | Feyenoord | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 28 |
4 | Ajax | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 26 |
5 | FC Twente | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 25 |
6 | Go Ahead Eagles | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 18 |
7 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 17 |
9 | NECNijmegen | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 16 |
10 | Willem II | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 15 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 15 |
12 | Heerenveen | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 14 |
13 | Heracles | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 13 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
15 | Groningen | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 11 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 30 | -24 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 33 | -21 | 5 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |