Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambuur win with a probability of 61.91%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 17.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cambuur win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.51%) and 1-0 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.39%), while for a Heracles win it was 1-2 (4.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Cambuur in this match.
