Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 59.51%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 18.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 1-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 2-0 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.13%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 0-1 (5.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.