Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 61.37%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for FC Twente had a probability of 16.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.09%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.32%), while for a FC Twente win it was 0-1 (5.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Utrecht would win this match.