Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 59.37%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Heerenveen had a probability of 19.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.56%) and 2-0 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.98%), while for a Heerenveen win it was 1-2 (5.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for FC Utrecht in this match.