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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 73.67%. A draw had a probability of 16.2% and a win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 10.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.69%) and 3-0 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.64%), while for a Sparta Rotterdam win it was 0-1 (3.14%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.
Result | ||
Feyenoord | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
73.67% | 16.17% | 10.15% |
Both teams to score 49.78% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.51% | 37.48% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.28% | 59.71% |
Feyenoord Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.24% | 8.75% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
69.92% | 30.07% |
Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.56% | 45.44% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.71% | 81.28% |
Score Analysis |
Feyenoord | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
2-0 @ 11.8% 1-0 @ 9.69% 3-0 @ 9.58% 2-1 @ 9.31% 3-1 @ 7.56% 4-0 @ 5.84% 4-1 @ 4.6% 3-2 @ 2.98% 5-0 @ 2.84% 5-1 @ 2.24% 4-2 @ 1.82% 6-0 @ 1.15% 6-1 @ 0.91% Other @ 3.34% Total : 73.67% | 1-1 @ 7.64% 0-0 @ 3.98% 2-2 @ 3.67% Other @ 0.89% Total : 16.18% | 0-1 @ 3.14% 1-2 @ 3.01% 0-2 @ 1.24% 2-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.8% Total : 10.15% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 13 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 45 | 9 | 36 | 36 |
2 | Feyenoord | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 28 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 28 |
4 | Ajax | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 26 |
5 | FC Twente | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 25 |
6 | Go Ahead Eagles | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 18 |
7 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 17 |
9 | NECNijmegen | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 16 |
10 | Willem II | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 15 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 15 |
12 | Heerenveen | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 14 |
13 | Heracles | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 13 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
15 | Groningen | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 11 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 30 | -24 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 33 | -21 | 5 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |