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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 75.73%. A draw had a probability of 14.2% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 10.11%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 0-2 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.71%) and 0-3 (8.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.17%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 2-1 (2.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
Result | ||
Fortuna Sittard | Draw | Ajax |
10.11% | 14.16% | 75.73% |
Both teams to score 58.33% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
72.97% | 27.03% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
52.47% | 47.53% |
Fortuna Sittard Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.01% | 37.99% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.24% | 74.76% |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
94.07% | 5.94% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
77.3% | 22.7% |
Score Analysis |
Fortuna Sittard | Draw | Ajax |
2-1 @ 2.98% 1-0 @ 2.18% 3-2 @ 1.36% 2-0 @ 1.06% 3-1 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.57% Total : 10.11% | 1-1 @ 6.17% 2-2 @ 4.21% 0-0 @ 2.26% 3-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 0.25% Total : 14.16% | 0-2 @ 9% 1-2 @ 8.71% 0-3 @ 8.47% 1-3 @ 8.2% 0-1 @ 6.37% 0-4 @ 5.98% 1-4 @ 5.79% 2-3 @ 3.97% 0-5 @ 3.38% 1-5 @ 3.27% 2-4 @ 2.8% 0-6 @ 1.59% 2-5 @ 1.58% 1-6 @ 1.54% 3-4 @ 0.9% Other @ 4.17% Total : 75.73% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 13 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 45 | 9 | 36 | 36 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 31 |
3 | Feyenoord | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 28 |
4 | Ajax | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 26 |
5 | FC Twente | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 25 |
6 | Go Ahead Eagles | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 18 |
7 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 17 |
9 | NECNijmegen | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 16 |
10 | Willem II | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 15 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 15 |
12 | Heerenveen | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 14 |
13 | Heracles | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 13 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
15 | Groningen | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 11 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 30 | -24 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 33 | -21 | 5 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |