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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Sittard win with a probability of 38%. A win for FC Twente had a probability of 35.65% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Sittard win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest FC Twente win was 0-1 (9.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fortuna Sittard would win this match.
Result | ||
Fortuna Sittard | Draw | FC Twente |
38% | 26.35% | 35.65% |
Both teams to score 53.02% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.31% | 51.69% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.53% | 73.47% |
Fortuna Sittard Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.5% | 26.5% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.31% | 61.69% |
FC Twente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.14% | 27.86% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.53% | 63.47% |
Score Analysis |
Fortuna Sittard | Draw | FC Twente |
1-0 @ 9.81% 2-1 @ 8.32% 2-0 @ 6.51% 3-1 @ 3.68% 3-0 @ 2.88% 3-2 @ 2.35% 4-1 @ 1.22% 4-0 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.27% Total : 38% | 1-1 @ 12.53% 0-0 @ 7.38% 2-2 @ 5.32% 3-3 @ 1% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.35% | 0-1 @ 9.43% 1-2 @ 8.01% 0-2 @ 6.03% 1-3 @ 3.41% 0-3 @ 2.57% 2-3 @ 2.27% 1-4 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.85% Total : 35.65% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 18 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 61 | 15 | 46 | 46 |
2 | Ajax | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 42 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 36 | 29 | 7 | 39 |
4 | Feyenoord | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 41 | 23 | 18 | 35 |
5 | FC Twente | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 38 | 23 | 15 | 34 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 33 | 19 | 14 | 33 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 28 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 25 |
9 | Heerenveen | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 24 |
10 | Willem II | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 22 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 18 | 7 | 1 | 10 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 22 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 20 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 17 |
15 | Heracles | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 15 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 18 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 13 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 18 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 10 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 18 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 19 | 43 | -24 | 7 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |