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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 54.59%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 23.05% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.95%) and 0-2 (8.49%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 2-1 (6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Utrecht would win this match.
Result | ||
Fortuna Sittard | Draw | FC Utrecht |
23.05% | 22.36% | 54.59% |
Both teams to score 58.27% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.85% | 41.15% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.46% | 63.54% |
Fortuna Sittard Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.57% | 31.43% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.19% | 67.81% |
FC Utrecht Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.98% | 15.03% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.49% | 43.51% |
Score Analysis |
Fortuna Sittard | Draw | FC Utrecht |
2-1 @ 6% 1-0 @ 5.47% 2-0 @ 3.16% 3-1 @ 2.31% 3-2 @ 2.19% 3-0 @ 1.22% Other @ 2.7% Total : 23.05% | 1-1 @ 10.36% 2-2 @ 5.68% 0-0 @ 4.72% 3-3 @ 1.39% Other @ 0.21% Total : 22.36% | 1-2 @ 9.82% 0-1 @ 8.95% 0-2 @ 8.49% 1-3 @ 6.2% 0-3 @ 5.36% 2-3 @ 3.59% 1-4 @ 2.94% 0-4 @ 2.54% 2-4 @ 1.7% 1-5 @ 1.11% 0-5 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.92% Total : 54.59% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 18 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 61 | 15 | 46 | 46 |
2 | Ajax | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 42 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 35 |
5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 33 | 19 | 14 | 33 |
6 | FC Twente | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 31 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 28 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 25 |
9 | Willem II | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 22 |
10 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 22 |
11 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 21 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 20 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 15 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 18 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 13 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 9 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 18 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 19 | 43 | -24 | 7 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |