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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 79.11%. A draw had a probability of 13.1% and a win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 7.75%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (10.14%) and 1-2 (8.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.08%), while for a Go Ahead Eagles win it was 2-1 (2.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | Ajax |
7.75% | 13.14% | 79.11% |
Both teams to score 51.14% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
69.54% | 30.46% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
48.25% | 51.75% |
Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.44% | 45.56% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.62% | 81.38% |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93.94% | 6.06% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
76.96% | 23.04% |
Score Analysis |
Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | Ajax |
2-1 @ 2.39% 1-0 @ 2.17% Other @ 3.19% Total : 7.75% | 1-1 @ 6.08% 2-2 @ 3.35% 0-0 @ 2.76% Other @ 0.95% Total : 13.14% | 0-2 @ 10.85% 0-3 @ 10.14% 1-2 @ 8.53% 1-3 @ 7.98% 0-1 @ 7.74% 0-4 @ 7.12% 1-4 @ 5.59% 0-5 @ 3.99% 1-5 @ 3.14% 2-3 @ 3.14% 2-4 @ 2.2% 0-6 @ 1.87% 1-6 @ 1.47% 2-5 @ 1.23% Other @ 4.12% Total : 79.1% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 13 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 45 | 9 | 36 | 36 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 31 |
3 | Feyenoord | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 28 |
4 | Ajax | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 26 |
5 | FC Twente | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 25 |
6 | Go Ahead Eagles | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 18 |
7 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 17 |
9 | NECNijmegen | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 16 |
10 | Willem II | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 15 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 15 |
12 | Heerenveen | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 14 |
13 | Heracles | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 13 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
15 | Groningen | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 11 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 30 | -24 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 33 | -21 | 5 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |