Eredivisie | Gameweek 12
Nov 21, 2021 at 11.15am UK
Adelaarshorst
Go Ahead Eagles0 - 1Groningen
Unbeaten in eight matches, Go Ahead Eagles welcome Groningen to De Adelaarshorst in round 13 of the Eredivisie season on Sunday.
The away team also head into the game on their best run of the season so far having lost just one of their last six outings.
Match preview
Groningen were involved in a share of the spoils following a 1-1 draw versus RKC Waalwijk at the Euroborg on November 7. Danny Buijs's men went into the interval behind courtesy of Michiel Kramer's opener before drawing level in the 85th minute through Jorgen Strand Larsen. The Pride of the North are hovering just above the relegation zone by a point following a woeful start to the 2021-22 season. Their next task comes against an opposing side who have not won any of the last eight meetings between the teams since the turn of the millennium. Sunday's visitors, who have conceded the joint-most goals away from home this term, will need to tighten up at the back if they are to pick up a positive result. Go Ahead Eagles upset the odds in their match against defending champions Ajax two Sundays ago when they played out a goalless draw. Despite being on the back foot for the majority of the contest, Kees van Wonderen's men held firm to secure an impressive point in Amsterdam. The pride of the IJssel Kowet have now amassed 11 of the last 15 points available and are currently 10th on the log, a point off the top half. Only the current top four teams have picked up more points on home turf than Sunday's hosts, who will be confident of securing another feather in the cap this weekend.Go Ahead Eagles Eredivisie form:
- L
- D
- W
- W
- W
- D
Go Ahead Eagles form (all competitions):
- W
- W
- W
- W
- D
- W
Groningen Eredivisie form:
- L
- D
- D
- W
- L
- D
Groningen form (all competitions):
- D
- D
- W
- W
- L
- D
Team News
Twenty-year-old Turan Tuzlacik is ruled out through a leg injury and will not play any part for the home side. Scottish midfielder Frank Ross made his season debut in Thursday's friendly versus Meppen, but the 23-year-old might not be risked for this weekend's game. Groningen's Mike te Wierik remains sidelined with a foot injury, while Radinio Balker is yet to feature this term due to a cruciate ligament injury. Jorge Strand Larsen came off the bench to good effect last time out and could be rewarded with a place in the starting lineup this time around. Go Ahead Eagles possible starting lineup: Hahn; Kuipers, Kramer, Idzen, Lucassen; Brouwers, Botos, Rommens; Cordoba, Oratmangoen, Cardona Groningen possible starting lineup: Leeuwenburgh; Dammers, Sverko, Dankerlui, Van Hintum; El Hankouri, Suslov, Kasanwirjo; De Leeuw, Ngonge, Strand LarsenWe said: Go Ahead Eagles 2-1 Groningen
Playing in front of their fans, the onus will be more on the hosts to take control of proceedings and secure all three points. We are backing them to emerge victorious at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Go Ahead Eagles win with a probability of 48.16%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Groningen had a probability of 25.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Go Ahead Eagles win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.35%), while for a Groningen win it was 0-1 (8.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | Groningen |
| 48.16% | 26.06% | 25.78% |
| Both teams to score 49.37% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
