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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 59.14%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Heerenveen had a probability of 19.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.8%) and 0-1 (8.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.55%), while for a Heerenveen win it was 2-1 (5.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
Result | ||
Heerenveen | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
19.99% ( 1.54) | 20.86% ( 0.88) | 59.14% ( -2.41) |
Both teams to score 58.92% ( -0.36) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.82% ( -1.74) | 38.18% ( 1.75) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.54% ( -1.88) | 60.46% ( 1.88) |
Heerenveen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.45% ( 0.51) | 32.55% ( -0.51) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.92% ( 0.57) | 69.08% ( -0.57) |
PSV Eindhoven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.36% ( -1.2) | 12.64% ( 1.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.22% ( -2.55) | 38.78% ( 2.56) |
Score Analysis |
Heerenveen | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
2-1 @ 5.36% ( 0.34) 1-0 @ 4.62% ( 0.43) 2-0 @ 2.59% ( 0.28) 3-2 @ 2.07% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 2.01% ( 0.15) 3-0 @ 0.97% ( 0.12) Other @ 2.38% Total : 19.99% | 1-1 @ 9.55% ( 0.48) 2-2 @ 5.54% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 4.11% ( 0.34) 3-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.23% Total : 20.86% | 1-2 @ 9.88% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 8.8% ( -0.09) 0-1 @ 8.51% ( 0.31) 1-3 @ 6.81% ( -0.3) 0-3 @ 6.07% ( -0.36) 2-3 @ 3.82% ( -0.11) 1-4 @ 3.52% ( -0.33) 0-4 @ 3.14% ( -0.35) 2-4 @ 1.98% ( -0.16) 1-5 @ 1.46% ( -0.22) 0-5 @ 1.3% ( -0.21) Other @ 3.86% Total : 59.14% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 9 | 31 | 33 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 28 |
3 | Ajax | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 26 |
4 | Feyenoord | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 13 | 15 | 25 |
5 | FC Twente | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 22 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 17 |
8 | NECNijmegen | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 16 |
9 | Willem II | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 15 |
10 | Go Ahead Eagles | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 15 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 15 |
12 | Heerenveen | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 14 |
13 | Groningen | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 12 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
15 | Heracles | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 11 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 27 | -21 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | 31 | -21 | 4 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |