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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 70.28%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 12.34%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.6%) and 0-1 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.12%), while for a Heracles win it was 2-1 (3.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Heracles | Draw | Ajax |
12.34% | 17.38% | 70.28% |
Both teams to score 53.18% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63% | 37.01% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.8% | 59.2% |
Heracles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.71% | 41.29% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.18% | 77.82% |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.59% | 9.41% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
68.35% | 31.65% |
Score Analysis |
Heracles | Draw | Ajax |
2-1 @ 3.59% 1-0 @ 3.44% 2-0 @ 1.52% 3-2 @ 1.25% 3-1 @ 1.06% Other @ 1.48% Total : 12.34% | 1-1 @ 8.12% 2-2 @ 4.25% 0-0 @ 3.89% 3-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 0.14% Total : 17.38% | 0-2 @ 10.85% 1-2 @ 9.6% 0-1 @ 9.19% 0-3 @ 8.55% 1-3 @ 7.56% 0-4 @ 5.05% 1-4 @ 4.47% 2-3 @ 3.35% 0-5 @ 2.39% 1-5 @ 2.11% 2-4 @ 1.98% 0-6 @ 0.94% 2-5 @ 0.93% Other @ 3.31% Total : 70.28% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 13 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 45 | 9 | 36 | 36 |
2 | Feyenoord | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 28 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 28 |
4 | Ajax | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 26 |
5 | FC Twente | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 25 |
6 | Go Ahead Eagles | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 18 |
7 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 17 |
9 | NECNijmegen | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 16 |
10 | Willem II | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 15 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 15 |
12 | Heerenveen | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 14 |
13 | Heracles | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 13 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
15 | Groningen | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 11 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 30 | -24 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 33 | -21 | 5 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |