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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 38.57%. A win for Heracles had a probability of 36.74% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.01%) and 0-2 (5.92%). The likeliest Heracles win was 2-1 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitesse would win this match.
Result | ||
Heracles | Draw | Vitesse |
36.74% | 24.69% | 38.57% |
Both teams to score 58.86% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.76% | 44.24% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.38% | 66.62% |
Heracles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.24% | 23.76% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.09% | 57.91% |
Vitesse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.2% | 22.8% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.49% | 56.52% |
Score Analysis |
Heracles | Draw | Vitesse |
2-1 @ 8.27% 1-0 @ 7.79% 2-0 @ 5.6% 3-1 @ 3.96% 3-2 @ 2.93% 3-0 @ 2.68% 4-1 @ 1.42% 4-2 @ 1.05% 4-0 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.07% Total : 36.74% | 1-1 @ 11.51% 2-2 @ 6.11% 0-0 @ 5.42% 3-3 @ 1.44% Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.69% | 1-2 @ 8.51% 0-1 @ 8.01% 0-2 @ 5.92% 1-3 @ 4.19% 2-3 @ 3.01% 0-3 @ 2.92% 1-4 @ 1.55% 2-4 @ 1.11% 0-4 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.27% Total : 38.57% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 18 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 61 | 15 | 46 | 46 |
2 | Ajax | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 42 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 36 | 29 | 7 | 39 |
4 | Feyenoord | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 41 | 23 | 18 | 35 |
5 | FC Twente | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 38 | 23 | 15 | 34 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 33 | 19 | 14 | 33 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 28 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 25 |
9 | Heerenveen | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 24 |
10 | Willem II | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 22 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 18 | 7 | 1 | 10 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 22 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 20 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 17 |
15 | Heracles | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 15 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 18 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 13 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 18 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 10 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 18 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 19 | 43 | -24 | 7 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |