Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 56.37%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for NEC had a probability of 21.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.89%) and 0-2 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.66%), while for a NEC win it was 1-0 (5.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.
