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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 48.57%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Heerenveen had a probability of 25.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.21%) and 2-1 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.34%), while for a Heerenveen win it was 0-1 (8.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
NEC | Draw | Heerenveen |
48.57% | 26.07% | 25.36% |
Both teams to score 48.97% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.38% | 54.62% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.04% | 75.95% |
NEC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.48% | 22.51% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.91% | 56.08% |
Heerenveen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.2% | 36.8% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.41% | 73.58% |
Score Analysis |
NEC | Draw | Heerenveen |
1-0 @ 12.35% 2-0 @ 9.21% 2-1 @ 9.21% 3-0 @ 4.58% 3-1 @ 4.58% 3-2 @ 2.29% 4-0 @ 1.71% 4-1 @ 1.71% Other @ 2.95% Total : 48.56% | 1-1 @ 12.34% 0-0 @ 8.28% 2-2 @ 4.6% Other @ 0.84% Total : 26.06% | 0-1 @ 8.28% 1-2 @ 6.17% 0-2 @ 4.14% 1-3 @ 2.06% 2-3 @ 1.53% 0-3 @ 1.38% Other @ 1.79% Total : 25.36% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 9 | 31 | 33 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 28 |
3 | Ajax | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 26 |
4 | Feyenoord | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 13 | 15 | 25 |
5 | FC Twente | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 22 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 17 |
8 | NECNijmegen | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 16 |
9 | Willem II | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 15 |
10 | Go Ahead Eagles | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 15 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 15 |
12 | Heerenveen | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 14 |
13 | Groningen | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 12 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
15 | Heracles | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 11 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 27 | -21 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | 31 | -21 | 4 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |