We said: NEC 1-0 RKC Waalwijk
Buoyed by last week's triumph, NEC will head into this one brimming with confidence as they prepare for the visit of a Waalwijk side who have not fared well on their travels so far. We fancy the home side to emerge victorious, albeit by only a narrow margin.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 41.03%. A win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 32.7% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (7.17%). The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win was 0-1 (9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.