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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 41.03%. A win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 32.7% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (7.17%). The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win was 0-1 (9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
NEC | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
41.03% | 26.27% | 32.7% |
Both teams to score 52.68% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.13% | 51.87% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.38% | 73.62% |
NEC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.05% | 24.95% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.42% | 59.58% |
RKC Waalwijk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.2% | 29.8% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.12% | 65.88% |
Score Analysis |
NEC | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
1-0 @ 10.32% 2-1 @ 8.68% 2-0 @ 7.17% 3-1 @ 4.02% 3-0 @ 3.32% 3-2 @ 2.43% 4-1 @ 1.39% 4-0 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.56% Total : 41.02% | 1-1 @ 12.49% 0-0 @ 7.44% 2-2 @ 5.25% 3-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.27% | 0-1 @ 9% 1-2 @ 7.56% 0-2 @ 5.45% 1-3 @ 3.05% 0-3 @ 2.2% 2-3 @ 2.12% 1-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.39% Total : 32.7% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 13 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 45 | 9 | 36 | 36 |
2 | Feyenoord | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 28 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 28 |
4 | Ajax | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 26 |
5 | FC Twente | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 25 |
6 | Go Ahead Eagles | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 18 |
7 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 17 |
9 | NECNijmegen | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 16 |
10 | Willem II | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 15 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 15 |
12 | Heerenveen | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 14 |
13 | Heracles | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 13 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
15 | Groningen | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 11 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 30 | -24 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 33 | -21 | 5 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |